Here's why China won't allow Malaysia to back out from the ECRL agreement4 months ago Matdura S.
There are quite a number of hot topics being talked about in Malaysia at the moment. Some of you might be hyped about the release of Avengers: Endgame *no spoilers please* while the others might be following up with the latest updates of the ECRL project, which doesn’t seem to have an...endgame. This is because the debate on whether or not it will go on seems like it’s...Endless.
In this article, we’ll be looking into the reason behind why there is no end to the negotiations being made with China, and whether Malaysia can legally come out of this billion dollar contract. Perhaps, the ECRL agreement is best understood by laying out a chain of events on what has been happening so far...
The timeline of the ECRL agreement
So for a brief intro on what this is all about, let’s start with what exactly is the ECRL project in the first place. ECRL is short for East Coast Rail Link and is a double track railway link connecting Port Klang to Kota Bahru. The project is being segmented into three phases and the first two have already been initiated. As much as the railway link can benefit a lot of people – mostly for those who live on the East Coast of Peninsular Malaysia, the project comes with a very (this is somewhat an understatement) expensive price.
Here’s the timeline of how the project came about, in simplified terms:
- Nov 1 2016: Where a contract agreement was signed between the former Barisan Nasional government and China Communications Construction Company (CCCC) to build the 688KM track linking Port Klang to Pengkalan Kubor in Kelantan.
- May 3 2017: The former government then topped up an additional RM1.28 Billion to extend the tracks from Wakaf Bharu to Pengkalan Kubor.
- May 13 2017: Malaysia then signed a supplementary agreement with CCCC for a second phase of the project for RM9 Billion.
- August 23 2017: The government later approved on the upgrading of the ECRL for a double tracking project with costs an additional RM10.5 Billion.
- March 20 2019: After the general elections and the new government was formed, Prime Minister Tun Mahathir suspended the construction work and later stated that the the project will continue after the project negotiation on the price was finalized with China.
- March 22 2019: Tun Daim, the chairman of the Government Advisory Council said that Malaysia was expected to finalize the ECRL agreement with cost savings more than RM10 Billion.
- April 12 2019: The government announced the ECRL project would resume with a new alignment of tracks from Kota Bahru to Port Klang.
Based on the timeline above, the ECRL project has been an on and off thing (like a toxic relationship) for almost three years now. So this was finally negotiated a few weeks ago by both, Malaysian and the Chinese government and they agreed to reduce the initial estimated price of the project, RM65.5 Billion to RM44 Billion for the first two phases of the project.
Despite the reduction, we still have a major problem as the price of construction for the project is still too expensive for the country to afford. So, some of you may now question, why didn’t the government just cancel the contract with China?
Is it possible to cancel the ECRL contract?
There is evidence released by the Wall Street Journal and the Sarawak Report, stating that the ECRL project is a coverup of the 1MDB funds that the former Prime Minister has been charged with. However, until a court case can be brought against Najib Razak on the matter, this is somewhat just a speculation.
If an element of foulplay is proved, the current government can show that there is a mistake as to the subject matter of the contract itself. In this circumstance, if Malaysia wants to leave the ECRL project due to any miscalculations, then there is a possibility that there has been a mistake in the contract. For instance, if both parties make a mistake in the contract agreement, the contract can be said to be void (ineffective) and will not bind the parties.
However, since there is lack of evidence at the moment to prove the foulplay, the case is different. Only one party wants to come out of the contract now or has made a mistake on the matter of facts. This is known as a unilateral mistake in the contract.
Section 23 of the Contracts Act 1950 states as such:
In other words, the Act states that if the mistake is made by only one person, the contract will not be void. So, the government will still have to carry on with the contract and honour it.
If not for the allegations, would it still be possible for Malaysia to come out from the deal?
Unfortunately, we’ve already stepped in too deep
Basically, the chances of Malaysia stepping out of the deal is slim due to several reasons. Firstly, the former Prime Minister has paid somewhat like a downpayment to China for the project, which can be said to be an offer to contract with China. An estimated amount of RM20 billion has already been paid by Najib Razak and the former cabinet, which is almost 20% of the cost of phase one of the ECRL project.
Further, if Malaysia still went on to cancel the contract, then the government will have to come up with at least RM20 billion as a payment of penalty. If you look at this in legal terms, cancelling a contract unilaterally will put the party who cancelled it in a position to rectify their mistake and pay compensation to the other party. Also, the penalty for scrapping the ECRL project is a huge amount, which leaves us with no other options, but to go ahead with the project.
But the longer the delay, the more expensive it becomes
The keyword here is interest. The longer the negotiation process takes, the more expensive the interest becomes. However, there have been negotiations lately between China and Malaysia to trade raw materials such as palm oil to reduce the cost of the ECRL project.
With that, perhaps there isn’t much of an option to come out of the ECRL contract as it has been already complied with and, the termination of it will only lead to more debts for the country. As this matter is still a grey area on whether or not we can lower the cost of the ECRL, perhaps there might be a chance for further price negotiations or trade/investments when the Prime Minister visits China for the Belt-Road Initiative conference.